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Joshua M. Epstein,Derek A. T. Cummings,Shubha Chakravarty,Ramesh M. Singha,Donald S. Burke: Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror : An Individual-Based Computational Approach

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In the United States, routine smallpox vaccination ended in 1972. The level of immunity remaining in the U.S. population is uncertain, but is generally assumed to be quite low. Smallpox is a deadly and infectious pathogen with a fatality rate of 30 percent. If smallpox were successfully deployed as an agent of bioterrorism today, the public health and economic consequences could be devastating. Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror describes the scientific results and policy implications of a simulation of a smallpox epidemic in a two-town county. The model was developed by an interdisicplinary team from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and the Brookings Institution Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, employing agent-based and other advanced computational techniques. Such models are playing a critical role in the crafting of a national strategy for the containment of smallpox by providing public health policymakers with a variety of novel and feasible approaches to vaccination and isolation under different circumstances. The extension of these techniques to the containment of emerging pathogens, such as SARS, is discussed. About the Authors Joshua M. Epstein and Shubha Chakravarty are with the Brookings Institution. Derek A. T. Cummings, Ramesh M. Singha, and Donald S. Burke are with the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

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Sir Arthur Conan Doyle: Sherlock Holmes: the Valley of Fear (Sherlock Complete Set 7)

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'It is the Valley of Fear, the Valley of Death. The terror is in the hearts of the people from the dusk to the dawn. Wait, young man, and you will learn for yourself'. Sherlock Holmes is intrigued and disturbed when he receives an ominous coded message: a Mr Douglas of Birlstone House is in terrible danger. Before Holmes can act, shocking news arrives. Douglas has been founded dead - his face blown off by a shotgun. Scotland Yard is stumped. Was this suicide or murder? But Holmes is in no doubt. For he recognises the calling card of his nemesis. Professor James Moriarty.

In Dangerous Men and Adventurous Women, Jayne Ann Krentz and the contributors to this volume-all best-selling romance writers-explode myths and biases that haunt both the writers and readers of romances. In this seamless, ultimately fascinating, and controversial book, the authors dispute some of the notions that plague their profession, including the time-worn theory that the romance genre contains only one single, monolithic story, which is cranked out over and over again. The authors discuss positive life-affirming values inherent in all romances: the Sherlock Holmes: the Valley of Fear (Sherlock Complete Set 7) download ebook pdf celebration of female power, courage, intelligence, and gentleness; the inversion of the power structure of a patriarchal society; and the integration of male and female. Several of the essays also discuss the issue of reader identification with the characters, a relationship that is far more complex than most critics realize.

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John Grisham: The Testament

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Troy Phelen is a self-made billionaire, one of the richest men in the United States. He is also eccentric, reclusive, confined to a wheelchair, and looking for a way to die. Nate O'Riley is a high-octane Washington litigator who's lived too hard, too fast, for too long. Emerging from his fourth stay in rehab he knows returning to the real world is always difficult, but this time it's going to be murder. Rachel Lane is a young woman who chose to give her life to God, who walked away from the modern world with all its strivings and trappings and encumbrances, and went to live and work with a primitive tribe of Indians in the deepest jungles of Brazil. In a story that mixes legal suspense with a remarkable adventure, their lives are forever altered by the startling secret of The Testament.

Lainie Capshaw has been tending to injured cowboys long enough to know that a charming Western drawl combined with a fine physical form doesn t mean you should fall for a man. As a sports therapist, she travels the rodeo circuits patching up riders and fending off their sweet-talking, swaggering advances. First published in 1934, In The Cairngorms is Nan Shepherd's only book of poems. It took her twenty- five years to write these forty-six poems. Each is possessed of a fierce intensity; together, they offer glimpses into what she once called The Testament download ebook the burning heart of life'. Shepherd's lifelong acquaintance with the Scottish mountains was a spiritual as well as a geographical exploration: in the Cairngorms she discovered both elemental beauty and profound metaphysical mystery. Her huge gifts as a poet were to convey these discoveries in language that remains strange and thrilling.'

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Nicola J. Petty: Neuromusculoskeletal Examination and Assessment: A Handbook for Therapists with PAGEBURST Access

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This title offers printed book plus "Pageburst[trademark]" access - you will receive a printed book and access to the complete book content electronically. "Pageburst[trademark]" enhances learning by not only bringing world class content to your fingertips but also letting you add to it, annotate it, and categorize it all in a way that suits you. "Pageburst[trademark]" frees you to spend more time learning and less time searching. Now in its fourth edition, this core textbook continues to provide a comprehensive, systematic guide to the examination and assessment of patients with neuromusculoskeletal dysfunction. The new edition continues with Nicola Petty at the helm but she is now joined by a reputable team of specialized clinicians and academics who have contributed to individual chapters. "Neuromusculoskeletal Examination and Assessment" focuses on the development of technical and clinical reasoning skills involved in differential diagnosis of joint, nerve and muscle tissues. It is designed for physiotherapy/manual therapy students and their teachers but is also ideal for those in the first years of their practice as an educational support for patient care.

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Eric Carle: Rooster's Off to See the World

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Rooster's Off to See the World is a captivating picture book from Eric Carle, author-illustrator of The Very Hungry Caterpillar, which teaches young children basic numeracy through a delightful story about an adventurous rooster. One fine morning, a rooster decided he wanted to travel. Along the way, he is joined by two cats, three frogs, four turtles and five fish, all eager to see the world. But they discover travelling is harder work than they thought. With his colourful collages and entertaining story, Eric Carle introduces children to the meaning of numbers, number sets and simple addition and subtraction. Eric Carle is an award-winning and bestselling author-illustrator of books for very young children. His books include the much-loved classic The Very Hungry Caterpillar, The Mixed-Up Chameleon, Today is Monday, Draw Me a Star, The Very Busy Spider and The Bad-Tempered Ladybird. His most famous book The Very Hungry Caterpillar has sold over 33 million copies worldwide and has been translated into over 50 different languages; several enhanced editions of The Very Hungry Caterpillar are available from Puffin.

An adventure that features the mythical Firebird, a prince travelling incognito, the awesome city of Saint Petersburg, the glacial lands of the north, and Rooster's Off to See the World download ebook - in a starring role - Baba Yaga, the enigmatic witch of Russian folklore, and her shapeshifting house, Dumb Doma, perched on chicken legs. The most important words ever written are the Ten Commandments. These words changed the world when they were first presented at Mt. Sinai to Israelites, and they are changing it now. They are the foundation stones of Western Civilization. Given their staggering importance, you would think that all societies, and certainly our educational and religious institutions, would be intent on studying them closely. Sadly, this is not the case. Our schools ignore them and our churches and synagogues take them for granted. But here's a simple test: Who among us can even name all of the Ten Commandments? And even among those who can name them, how many can explain them in a way that makes sense to the modern eye and ear? If you are a person of faith, this book will strengthen it; if you are agnostic it will force you to rethink your doubts; if you're atheist, it will test your convictions. For people who have thought little about the Ten Commandments, as well as for those who have a sophisticated understanding of them, it will be a revelation. That's a lot to ask of a little book, but the only thing that's little here is the length. The ideas are very big.

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Simone Weil,Rachel Bespaloff,Christopher E. G. Benfey,Mary McCarthy,Hermann Broch: War and the Iliad

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Weil's stunning lecture came on the eve of the Second World War, and Bespaloff's work, probably a response to Weil, was written in its midst. Although often read as pacifist manifestos, they are also brilliant pieces of literary and social criticism. Christopher Benfey (literature, Mount Holyoke) provides an introduction that sets these works in th"

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John Jackman,Wendy Wren: Nelson English - Book 2 Developing Fiction Skills

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The Developing Fiction Skills and Developing Non-Fiction Skills pupil books explore a wide range of texts using parallel themes. Each book contains twelve units offering four units per term. The parallel themes common to both the Fiction and Non-Fiction strands allow for comparison, an exploration of the same theme in different text types and effectively integrates the teaching of non-fiction.

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